Objective To explore the effect of multimodal interventions in improving the compliance rate of core infection control measures on reducing the incidence rate of vessel catheter associated infection (VCAI). Methods Inpatients with intravascular catheters in 5 departments with high rates of vascular catheterization and infection of Dongguan People’s Hospital between January 2021 and December 2022 were selected. According to the hospital stay, patients were divided into a pre-intervention group (January to December 2021) and a post-intervention group (January to December 2022). The core infection control measures assessment pass rates of medical staff between the two periods and the differences in the incidence rate of VCAI, average catheterization days, and catheterization rate before and after intervention in both groups were compared. Results A total of 8174 patients were included. Among them, there were 3915 patients in the pre-intervention group and 4259 patients in the post-intervention group. In the pre-intervention group, the total length of hospital stay was 122885 days, the total number of catheterization days was 48028 days, and 28 cases of VCAI occurred. In the post-intervention group, the total length of hospital stay was 126966 days, the total number of catheterization days was 51253 days, and 12 cases of VCAI occurred. After intervention, the compliance rate of VCAI core infection control measures was improved [69.21% (2907/4200) vs. 91.24% (3832/4200); χ2=642.090, P＜0.001], the pass rate of medical staff’s core infection control measures assessment was improved [53.33% (128/240) vs. 91.67% (220/240); χ2=88.443, P＜0.001], the catheterization rate was increased [39.08% (48028/122885) vs. 40.37% (51253/126966); χ2=42.979, P<0.001], and the incidence rate of VCAI was reduced [0.58‰ (28/48028) vs. 0.23‰ (12/51253); incidence-rate ratios =0.40, 95% confidence interval (0.20, 0.79), P=0.008]. Conclusions Improving the compliance rate of VCAI core infection control measures through multimodal interventions can significantly improve the passing rates of core infection control measures of medical staffs. This will help to reduce the incidence of VCAI and ensuring patient safety, provide evidence-based support for the prevention and control of VCAI.
Objective To evaluate the predictive effect of three machine learning methods, namely support vector machine (SVM), K-nearest neighbor (KNN) and decision tree, on the daily number of new patients with ischemic stroke in Chengdu. Methods The numbers of daily new ischemic stroke patients from January 1st, 2019 to March 28th, 2021 were extracted from the Third People’s Hospital of Chengdu. The weather and meteorological data and air quality data of Chengdu came from China Weather Network in the same period. Correlation analyses, multinominal logistic regression, and principal component analysis were used to explore the influencing factors for the level of daily number of new ischemic stroke patients in this hospital. Then, using R 4.1.2 software, the data were randomly divided in a ratio of 7∶3 (70% into train set and 30% into validation set), and were respectively used to train and certify the three machine learning methods, SVM, KNN and decision tree, and logistic regression model was used as the benchmark model. F1 score, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and accuracy of each model were calculated. The data dividing, training and validation were repeated for three times, and the average F1 scores, AUCs and accuracies of the three times were used to compare the prediction effects of the four models. Results According to the accuracies from high to low, the prediction effects of the four models were ranked as SVM (88.9%), logistic regression model (87.5%), decision tree (85.9%), and KNN (85.1%); according to the F1 scores, the models were ranked as SVM (66.9%), KNN (62.7%), decision tree (59.1%), and logistic regression model (57.7%); according to the AUCs, the order from high to low was SVM (88.5%), logistic regression model (87.7%), KNN (84.7%), and decision tree (71.5%). Conclusion The prediction result of SVM is better than the traditional logistic regression model and the other two machine learning models.
Objective To summary the incidence rate and trends of cancers in China. MethodsBy compiling and analyzing the Chinese Cancer Registry Annual Report from 2008 to 2021, we summarized the regional and population distribution characteristics of overall and high-incidence rate cancers in China and analyzed influencing factors. ResultsFrom 2005 to 2018, the overall crude incidence of cancers in China showed a continuous upward trend. The incidence rate in the eastern region (incidence rate was 353.26/100 000 in 2018, the following data were crude incidence rate in 2018) was significantly higher than those in the central (269.47/100 000) and western regions (253.71/100 000), while the incidence rates in the central and western regions were closer. 2005–2018, the incidence rates of male was higher than that of female, and the population aged 80 years old or older (2 741.02/100 000) had the highest incidence rate of cancers, and the incidence rate of people aged 0–14 years old (41.38/100 000) was the lowest. From 2005–2018 (except for 2009), lung cancer (65.05/100 000), gastric cancer (27.03/100 000), liver cancer (27.42/100 000), colorectal cancer (30.51/100 000), and breast cancer (43.02/100 000) were the top 5 highest incidence rates of China’s cancers, of which lung cancer ranked the first in different regions, and the ranking of other cancers varied in different regions. The top 5 cancers in males’ incidence rates from 2005 to 2018 were lung cancer (83.45/100 000), gastric cancer (37.12/100 000), liver cancer (40.02/100 000), colorectal cancer (35.32/100 000) and esophageal cancer (26.30/100 000); the top 5 cancers in females’incidence rates had changed a lot in different years, breast cancer, lung cancer, colorectal cancer, gastric cancer, liver cancer, thyroid cancer and cervical cancer had all been in the top 5, for example, in 2018, the top 5 cancers in female were lung cancer (46.10/100 000), breast cancer (43.02/100 000), colorectal cancer (25.56/100 000), thyroid cancer (24.60/100 000) and cervical cancer (18.10/100 000).ConclusionsThe crude incidence rate of cancers in China continues to rise, with the cancer spectrum showing new characteristics that combine high-incidence rate cancers in developed countries (e.g., breast cancer, colorectal cancer) with common cancers in developing countries (e.g., gastric cancer, liver cancer). The situation of cancer prevention and control remains challenging.
ObjectiveTo investigate the incidence, pathogens, risk factors and clinical outcomes for ventilator- associated pneumonia (VAP) in children after tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) surgical correction, in order to offer reliable data for the prevention of VAP.MethodsThis was a retrospective study performed in Guangdong General Hospital and 181 children (121 males, 60 females, mean age of 11.2±10.4 months) undergoing surgical correction for TOF were included. ALL the children who received mechanical ventilation for 48 hours or longer between January 2013 and December 2017 were classified into a VAP group (n=44) and a non-VAP group (n=137). T test, χ2 test and multiple logistic regression analysis were used to identify the possible risk factors for VAP.ResultsThis study enrolled 181 patients , of which 44 were diagnosed as VAP. And the incidence of VAP was 24.3%. The most frequent isolated pathogen was Gram-negative bacteria (69.7%). Single factor analysis showed that the variables significantly associated with a risk factor of VAP were: hypoxic spells, preoperative pneumonia, preoperative mechanical ventilation support, cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time, reintubation, pulmonary atelectasis, low cardiac output syndrome (LCOS), intra-abdominal drainage and transfusion of fresh frozen plasma. The multiple logistic regression showed CPB time (OR=1.011), reintubation (OR=14.548), pulmonary atelectasis (OR=6.139) and LCOS (OR=3.054) were independent risk factors for VAP in children after TOF surgical correction. Patients with VAP had prolonged duration of mechanical ventilation, a longer ICU stay and longer hospitalization time.ConclusionsThe VAP rate in this population is higher than that reported abroad, which leads to prolonged duration of mechanical ventilation and a longer hospital stay. The effective measures for prevention of VAP should be taken according to the related risk factors for VAP to decrease the incidence of VAP in children after TOF surgical correction.
ObjectiveTo analyze and compare the incidence, mortality, temporal trends, and cancer spectrum differences between China and the United States (US), providing theoretical support for cancer prevention and control in China. MethodsAge standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and cancer site composition were extracted from GLOBOCAN, Cancer Statistics 2025, the China Cancer Registry Annual Report, and other epidemiological sources. Spatial (urban-rural, sex specific) and temporal distributions were described, and average annual growth rate (AAGR) were calculated. ResultsFrom 2005 onward, China exhibited a modest rise in ASIR, whereas the US showed a decline (AAGR: 0.58 vs –0.42); nevertheless, China’s overall incidence remained lower (2022 ASIR = 201.61/100 000) than that of the US (303.60/100 000). Both countries experienced decreasing ASMR (AAGR: –1.03 vs –1.72). In both nations, male ASIR and ASMR were higher than female. Since 2005, the top three US cancers had remained prostate (men) or breast (women), lung and colorectal cancer. In China, incidences of lung, colorectal, female breast and thyroid cancers had continued to rise, while stomach and liver cancer incidences had declined yet still rank high among men. Urban ASIR in China exceeded rural rates, whereas rural ASMR was higher than urban counterparts. ConclusionsAccelerating population ageing and lifestyle transitions have driven an upward incidence trend in China, accompanied by a shift towards a mixed pattern of traditional and emerging cancer risks. Drawing on US experience, China should intensify tobacco control measures, expand organized screening and early detection programs, implement comprehensive interventions for priority cancers, strengthen primary level capacity and improve treatment access in rural areas, thereby establishing a more effective national cancer prevention and control system.
Objective To study the incidence and etiological distribution of lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) after airway metal stent implantation in patients with malignant central airway obstruction (MCAO). Methods The clinical data of 149 patients with MCAO who underwent airway metal stent implantation in Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine of Hunan Provincial People's Hospital from April 2014 to April 2021 were selected for a retrospective study. The incidence of LRTI after treatment was counted. According to whether LRTI occurred after operation, they were divided into infected group and uninfected group. The clinical data of the two groups were compared and the influencing factors of LRTI were analyzed. Sputum samples and/or bronchoalveolar lavage fluid samples from patients infected with LRTI were collected for pathogen detection and drug susceptibility test, and the distribution and drug resistance of main pathogens were analyzed. Results A total of 149 patients who met the criteria were included in this study and the incidence of LRTI was 21.48%. People in the infected group was older than that in the uninfected one, and the proportion of people with a history of smoking, chemoradiotherapy, covered metal stents, and stent-related granulation tissue proliferation was higher, and the proportion of people with postoperative standardized aerosol inhalation was lower (P<0.05). Age, smoking history, chemoradiotherapy, covered metal stents, stent-related granulation tissue hyperplasia and postoperative standardized aerosol inhalation were all influencing factors of LRTI in these patients (P<0.05). A total of 38 pathogens were detected in 32 patients with LRTI. Gram negative bacteria, gram positive bacteria and fungi accounted for 68.42% (26/38), 21.05% (8/38) and 10.53% (4/38) respectively. Pseudomonas aeruginosa, the main Gram-negative bacteria, had no resistance to tobramycin, gentamicin and amikacin, but had high resistance to compound sulfamethoxazole, tigecycline and ampicillin; Klebsiella pneumoniae had low resistance to tobramycin, amikacin and tigecycline, and high resistance to cefotaxime, ciprofloxacin and cefepime; the main Gram-positive Staphylococcus aureus had no drug resistance to vancomycin, linezolid, compound sulfamethoxazole and quinuptin/dafuptin, but had high drug resistance to tetracycline, penicillin G, levofloxacin, oxacillin and ciprofloxacin; the main fungi Candida albicans showed no resistance to fluconazole, itraconazole, voriconazole, 5-fluorocytosine and amphotericin B. These results of pathogenic detection and drug susceptibility test contributed to the improvement of the rational application rate of antibiotics. Conclusions LRTI occurs in about a quarter of patients with MCAO after airway metal stent implantation. The pathogens are mainly Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Staphylococcus aureus. Antimicrobial treatment should be based on the results of etiological detection and drug susceptibility test.
Objective To comprehensively investigate the incidence of resorption of lumbar disc herniation, and provide reference data for clinical decision-making. Methods Seven electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wangfang data and Chongqing VIP database) were searched for relevant studies that might have reported morphologic changes in lumbar disc herniation when reporting the follow-up results of patients with lumbar disc herniation treated non-surgically from inception to March, 2020. Articles were screened according to inclusion and exclusion criteria, and the total number of patients, number of patients with resorption, and other important data were extracted for analysis. Random effect models were used for meta-analysis, and subgroup analysis, sensitivity analysis, meta-regression analysis, and Egger’s test were performed. Results A total of 15712 articles were identified from these databases, and 48 were eligible for analysis. A total of 2880 non-surgically treated patients with lumbar disc herniation were included in the meta-analysis, 1740 of whom presented resorption. Meta-analysis revealed that the incidence of resorption was 0.60 [95% confidence interval (CI) (0.46, 0.72)]. In subgroup analyses, studies that quantitatively measured the resorption of lumbar disc herniation yielded statistically higher pooled incidence [0.73, 95%CI (0.60, 0.85)] than those that used qualitative methods [0.51, 95%CI (0.34, 0.69)] (P=0.0252). The pooled incidence gradually increased in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) [0.50, 95%CI (0.15, 0.85)], non-RCT prospective studies [0.59, 95%CI (0.48, 0.70)] and retrospective studies [0.69, 95%CI (0.36, 0.95)], but the difference was not statistically significant (P=0.7523). The pooled incidence varied from 0.58 [95%CI (0.54, 0.71)] to 0.62 [95%CI (0.49, 0.74)] after the sequential omission of each single study. There was no significant change in the pooled incidence [0.62, 95%CI (0.43, 0.79)] when only low-risk RCTs and high-quality non-RCT studies were included, comparing with original meta-analysis results. Meta-regression showed that measurements partially caused heterogeneity (R2=15.34%, P=0.0858). Egger’s test suggested that there was no publication bias (P=0.4622). Conclusions According to current research, there is an overall incidence of resorption of 60% [95%CI (46%, 72%)] among non-surgically treated patients with lumbar disc herniation. The probability of resorption should be fully considered before making a decision on surgery.
Objective To explore the current status and changing trends of the disease burden of traumatic brain injury (TBI) in China from 1990 to 2023, and to quantitatively assess the impact of different influencing factors on this disease burden, thereby providing references for the prevention of TBI. Methods Based on the 2023 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD), indicators including incidence and years lived with disability (YLDs) were used to analyze the status and changing trends of TBI disease burden in China from 1990 to 2023. Additionally, the decomposition method established by Gupta was adopted to quantify the effects of population growth, population aging, age-specific incidence rate, and disease severity on YLDs. ResultsFrom 1990 to 2023, the age-standardized incidence rate and YLDs rate of TBI in China showed an overall upward trend, with a significant downward trend between 2015 and 2020, followed by a resumption of upward trend after 2020. The disease burden of TBI in males was higher than that in females, with a larger increase amplitude. The elderly population had higher TBI incidence rate and YLDs rate, also with a larger upward amplitude. Falls were the main cause of TBI in China, and the changing trend of the disease burden caused by falls was consistent with the overall trend of TBI disease burden; meanwhile, the elderly population bore a relatively high disease burden from falls. Taking 1990 as the baseline, the growth rates of YLDs in males and females in 2023 were 101.54% and 101.40%, respectively. For males, the proportions of YLDs growth attributed to population growth, population aging, age-specific incidence rate, and disease severity were 26.91%, 49.62%, 37.74%, and –12.73%, respectively; for females, the corresponding proportions were 28.85%, 57.69%, 27.65%, and –12.79%. ConclusionFrom 1990 to 2023, population aging had a significant impact on the disease burden of TBI in China. Strengthening the prevention and control of falls and paying close attention to males and the elderly population should be the key focuses of TBI prevention and control work in China in the future.
ObjectiveTo comprehensively evaluate the incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) after colorectal surgery.MethodsWe searched PubMed/Medline, Web of science, and Embase databases by computer, collected studies by using the combination of corresponding English keywords. Then, we screened literatures according to inclusion and exclusion criteria, and evaluated the quality of literatures by using Downs and Black tools. Finally, we used Stata 15.1 and R Project 3.4.1 for meta-analysis.ResultsA total of 15 studies (n=721 730) were included in the meta-analysis. The combined incidence of VTE after colorectal surgery was 2.26% [95% CI was (1.93%, 2.61%), P<0.000 1], and the incidence of VTE after adjusting for publication bias was 1.82% [95% CI was (1.53%, 2.13%), P<0.000 1]. Meta regression analysis revealed that patients’ age (P<0.000 1), smoking (P=0.000 4), open surgery (P=0.020 0), preoperative albumin level (P=0.023 6), and malignant tumor (P=0.036 4) were correlated with the incidence of VTE after colorectal surgery, which may be potential factors for heterogeneity.ConclusionsThe incidence of VTE after colorectal surgery is not insignificant. It is necessary for clinicians to be vigilant about the occurrence of VTE after colorectal surgery and provide appropriate preventive interventions in combination with patients’ own risk factors, disease-related factors, and surgical factors.
Objective To investigate the dietary patterns of rural residents in the high-incidence areas of esophageal cancer (EC), and to explore the clustering and influencing factors of risk factors associated with high-incidence characteristics. Methods A special structured questionnaire was applied to conduct a face-to-face survey on the dietary patterns of rural residents in Yanting county of Sichuan Province from July to August 2021. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to analyze the influencing factors of risk factor clustering for EC. Results There were 838 valid questionnaires in this study. A total of 90.8% of rural residents used clean water such as tap water. In the past one year, the people who ate fruits and vegetables, soybean products, onions and garlic in high frequency accounted for 69.5%, 32.8% and 74.5%, respectively; the people who ate kimchi, pickled vegetables, sauerkraut, barbecue, hot food and mildew food in low frequency accounted for 59.2%, 79.6%, 68.2%, 90.3%, 80.9% and 90.3%, respectively. The clustering of risk factors for EC was found in 73.3% of residents, and the aggregation of two risk factors was the most common mode (28.2%), among which tumor history and preserved food was the main clustering pattern (4.6%). The logistic regression model revealed that the gender, age, marital status and occupation were independent influencing factors for the risk factors clustering of EC (P<0.05). Conclusion A majority of rural residents in high-incidence areas of EC in Yanting county have good eating habits, but the clustering of some risk factors is still at a high level. Gender, age, marital status, and occupation are influencing factors of the risk factors clustering of EC.