ObjectiveTo quantify the global burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) attributable to high temperature, low temperature, and non-optimal temperature from 1990 to 2021 using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 data. MethodsBased on the GBD 2021 data, we analyzed global, regional, and national COPD mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from COPD attributable to high, low, and non-optimal temperatures. Joinpoint regression, age-period-cohort modeling, and Bayesian prediction models were employed. ResultsGlobally, age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and age-standardized DALYs rates (ASDR) for COPD attributable to low temperature and non-optimal temperature declined. However, the burden from high temperature increased. Low temperature consistently exerted a greater burden than high temperature across all metrics. Significant geographical disparities emerged: high-temperature mortality was highest in South Asia; low-temperature burden was most severe in East Asia; and high-income North America exhibited accelerated high-temperature mortality growth. The highest low-temperature burden occurred in middle-SDI region, while high-temperature impacts predominated in low-middle-SDI region. Age patterns showed rising high-temperature burden in the 15-39 age group and increasing low-temperature burden among adults ≥80 years old. Bayesian projections revealed divergent gender trajectories: a continuing decline in low-temperature burden for males versus a decelerated decline for females (2020-2030). ConclusionLow temperature exposure remains the primary risk factor for COPD within non-optimal temperatures globally, although high-temperature impacts are increasing. Significant regional variations necessitate targeted interventions for three key populations: older adults vulnerable to cold, working-age adults with occupational heat exposure, and older women requiring rehabilitative support.
Objective To develop the short version of the elderly disability assessment scale (EDAS-SF), and to evaluate its validity and reliability. Methods We conducted a face-to-face investigation in five rural communities in Suining and three urban communities in Chengdu city for elderly adults. We consulted gerontologists and rehabilitation physicians through an internet survey. Proper items were selected from the EDAS according to the results from the following statistical methods: critical ration, Cronbach’s α, correlation coefficient and exploratory factor analysis. Based on these work, the EDAS-SF was developed. The Cronbach’s α was used to assess the internal reliability and confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) to assess the construct validity of the EDAS-SF. Results A totally of 916 elderly adults were surveyed, among which, 887 finished the questionnaire, accounting for 96.8%. The mean age of the studied population was 70.8±6.9 years old. Finally, seven items were chosen for the EDAS-SF which included mental function, organ function, communication, activity, self-care, family function, economic and social function. The Cronbach’s α of the scale was 0.836. Except for the " economy and social function” dimension and the " communication” dimension, the Cronbach’s α of other dimensions were higher than 0.8. EDAS-SF was proved to have good internal reliability. In addition, the CFA indicated that the theoretical model of the EDAS-SF was well fit to the data of the checking sample, which meant EDAS-SF had good construct validity. Conclusion The current study develops the short version of elderly disability assessment scale. The internal reliability and construct validity of the EDAS-SF are good.
ObjectiveTo explore the effect of a new rehabilitation intervention model based on International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Healthy (ICF) concept in perioperative treatment on patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS).MethodsFrom June 2017 to January 2019, AIS patients with Cobb angle below 80° were randomly divided into experimental group and control group by the method of randomized block design. The patients in the control group received routine perioperative rehabilitation intervention, while the patients in the experimental group received rehabilitation mode intervention based on ICF concept. The therapeutic effect of the two groups including functional and activity dimensions was observed.ResultsA total of 40 patients were included, with 20 in each group. Two patients withdrew the control group. On the fourth day after surgery, the total score of Modified Barthel Index (50.55±8.87 vs. 18.99±5.63; t=13.264, P<0.001) and Scoliosis Research Society-22 (SRS-22) (3.68±0.13 vs. 3.27±0.11; t=10.355, P<0.001) in the experimental group were all better than those in the control group. In the SRS-22 scores, statistically significant differences in comparison of function (2.79±0.29 vs. 1.90±0.48; t=6.884, P<0.001), and self image (3.91±0.27 vs. 3.38±0.32; t=5.539, P<0.001) between the two groups were found. There was no statistically significant difference in pain indicators and muscle strength between the two groups in the two postoperative evaluations (P>0.05). ConclusionsThe treatment based on the concept of ICF can improve the daily living ability in the short term with the safe and acceptable premise. The concept of stimulating patient autonomy, improving patient independence, and promoting social treatment, may improve the overall state of the patients.
ObjectiveTo compare the disability conditions in different elderly populations in Sichuan province in order to get baseline data for further analyses in the future. MethodFrom October 2011 to August 2012, face-to-face interviews were performed by trained investigators in different elderly populations from urban communities, rural communities, acute care wards and rehabilitation wards. The main content of the investigation was the Elderly Disability Assessment Scale (EDAS). ResultsTotally, 1406 subjects were interviewed, among which, 1387 subjects completed the questionnaires. The response rate was 98.7%. The mean age of the participants was (73.8±8.2) years old. Elderly people dwelling in rural areas had a highest disability rate (81.4%), while the correspondent rate in subjects in acute care wards, rehabilitation wards, and urban community were 79.2%, 64.5%, and 53.8%, respectively (P<0.001). In each population, the disability rate increased with age. In the whole sample, most disabled subjects were of mild disability (80.5%). However, those in acute care wards or rehabilitation wards were more likely to have severe or profound disability. ConclusionsThe disability rate and the severity of disability increase with age in different elderly populations in Sichuan province, although most of them are of mild disability. The disability rate is conspicuously higher in the elderly dwelling in rural areas.
Objective To assess the appropriateness of Barthel Index (BI) and Modified Rankin Scales (MRS) used as long-term outcome measures in a stroke data register and to investigate the correlation between cutoff points of the two scales in different stroke patients with and without disability. Methods Nine hundred and twelve patients were registered prospectively. BI and MRS were evaluated at the end of 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after stroke onset. The distribution, ceiling effects and floor effects of the two scales were evaluated. A logistic regression model was established to investigate correlation of cutoff points of BI and MRS. Results There were a total of 2 829 evaluation points of BI and MRS. The percentages of patients reaching the maximum scores of BI at the end of 3, 6 and 12 months (54.8％, 62.2％ and 68.3％, respectively) were higher than those of MRS. There was significant correlation between the two scales (Spearman’s correlation coefficient 0.887, P＜0.05), when MRS scores of ≤1 and ≤2 were taken as cutoff points, the corresponding cutoff points of BI score were ≥90 and ≥85, respectively. Conclusions BI has significant ceiling effects when used as long-term outcome measurement in a stroke data register. There was significant correlation between BI and MRS scores. In future clinical studies, an MRS score ≤2 or BI score ≥85 could be used as cutoff points in predicting stroke patients with and without disability.
ObjectiveTo analyze the trend of disease burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) in China from 1990 to 2019.MethodsData was obtained from Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). Incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life year (DALY), years of life lost (YLL), years lived with disability (YLD), and their corresponding standardized rate and annual average percentage change (AAPC) were used to describe the changes of disease burden of colorectal cancer in Chinese population between 1990 and 2019.ResultsCompared with 1990, the number of new cases, standardized incidence, the number of deaths and standardized mortality of CRC in China in 2019 increased by 474.03%, 144.01%, 230.14%, and 36.15%, respectively. The standardized mortality and standardized incidence of CRC in China had reached and gradually exceeded the global level since 2010. From 1990 to 2019, the overall standard incidence (AAPC=3.6%, P<0.05), standard mortality rate (AAPC=1.4%, P<0.05), and the standard DALY rate (AAPC=1.2%, P<0.05) of CRC in China showed an increasing trend. The incidence, mortality and DALY rates of males were higher than those of females, and gradually increased with age. Compared with 1990, the DALY, YLL, and YLD of CRC in 2019 increased by 134.3%, 127.69%, and 445.00%, and their corresponding standardized rates increased by 30.53%, 27.03%, and 187.29%, respectively, showing an overall upward trend.ConclusionsFrom 1990 to 2019, the standardized incidence rate and standardized mortality rate of colorectal cancer in China have had a continuously increasing trend, and males and the elderly are high-risk groups. To reduce the burden of colorectal cancer in China, effective measures should be taken for prevention and management.
According to system reform of the current medical insurance diagnosis related groups, quality control of rehabilitation medicine and requirements of information management, this paper constructs a rehabilitation information system by using the theoretical framework and core sets of International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health (ICF). Then, the constructed system is embedded into the work of rehabilitation medicine team. By the four processes of ICF items evaluation, rehabilitation goal setting, team cooperation scheme formulation and reevaluation, the operation process of rehabilitation information management based on ICF is formed, which strengthens comprehensively the rehabilitation diagnosis and treatment standards and improves the efficiency of quality control management. The big data mining and multi-dimensional analysis in this platform can provide support of medical insurance payment, achieve exchanging and sharing rehabilitation medical quality control data among hospitals at different levels in different regions, assist tertiary referral and remote rehabilitation, improve the rehabilitation medical service system, and enhance the level of rehabilitation medical care. This paper will summarize the application experience of constructing ICF rehabilitation information management system.
ObjectiveThis study intends to analyze the changing disease burden of mood disorders in China from 1990 to 2021 and project the epidemiological trends in the next two decades. MethodsThis study uses data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database on three mood disorders in China (bipolar disorder, major depressive disorder, and dysthymia) from 1990 to 2021. The indicators such as age-standardized number of diseases and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were used to explore the characteristics of time, gender, and age distribution of the disease burden of mental disorders. The BAPC model was used to predict the disease burden in the next two decades. ResultsIn 2021, the number of cases of dysthymia, MDD, and BD in China was 27.84 million, 26.0 million, and 2.85 million, with an increase of 73.24%, 38.33%, and 36.79% compared with 1990, respectively. In 2021, DALYs of dysthymic disorder, MDD and BD were 2.67 million, 5.2 million and 0.61 million person-years, which increased by 71.45%, 34.29% and 34.76% compared with 1990, respectively. The burden of mood disorders is heavier among women and the middle-aged and elderly population. In addition, it is expected that ASPR and ASDR of dysthymia will continue to increase after a brief decline, MDD will show a downward trend, while BD will show a slight upward trend in the next two decades. ConclusionThe disease burden of mood disorders in China remains substantial, with dysthymia and BD showing persistent upward tendency. More resources should be invested in mental health care.
Objective The aim of this study was to describe the trends in the burden of breast cancer in women of all ages in China from 1990 to 2021, compare it with the global burden of breast cancer in women, and predict the burden of disease in the next 15 years. Methods Based on the open data of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) in 2021, the incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of breast cancer among women in China and the world were analyzed. Joinpoint was used to calculate annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) to reflect the changing trend of disease burden. An autoregressive composite moving average (ARIMA) model was used to predict the disease burden of breast cancer in women from 2022 to 2036. Results From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of female breast cancer in China showed an increasing trend, with an average annual increase of 2.400 7% and 2.334 8%, respectively, and the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR) showed a decreasing trend. The average annual decline was 0.290 0% and 0.198 3%, respectively. Meanwhile, ASIR and ASPR of global female breast cancer also showed an increasing trend, with an average annual increase of 0.474 9% and 0.3445 2% respectively, while ASMR and ASDR showed a decreasing trend, with an average annual decrease of 0.425 2% and 0.321 8% respectively. Among them, there were differences in the impact of age on the burden of female breast cancer. The peak of ASIR and ASPR appeared in the age group of 50 to 69 years old, and generally increased with the increase of age, and then decreased when reaching the peak. ASMR and ASDR increased with age. In the following 15 years, the prevalence of breast cancer in women in China and globally showed an increasing trend, while the mortality rate showed a decreasing trend. Conclusion From the analysis of the disease burden from 1990 to 2021, breast cancer has a huge harm to women, and the incidence of young and middle-aged women is high, the death rate of middle-aged and elderly women is high, and the disease time is long, which brings a heavy psychological and economic burden to patients and society. From the trend forecast for the next 15 years, the prevalence of breast cancer in women in China and the world will increase, while the mortality rate will decrease slightly, but the decrease is not large, which will bring huge public health challenges and put higher requirements on the prevention and control of the disease. To reduce the disease burden of breast cancer, comprehensive strategies for disease control are needed, including prevention of risk factors at the primary care level, screening of at-risk populations, and quality medical services.
ObjectiveTo analyze the disease burden and temporal trends of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) attributable to air pollution in China from 1990 to 2021. MethodsUtilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), we assessed the burden of COPD attributable to air pollution in China through metrics including death counts, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR), annual percentage change (APC), and average annual percentage change (AAPC). A Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) model was employed to project future trends in COPD burden attributable to air pollution. ResultsIn 2021, China’s ASMR and ASDR for COPD attributable to air pollution were 32.57 and 533.84 per 100 000 population, respectively, exceeding global averages. From 1990 to 2021, both ASMR and ASDR exhibited significant declining trends, with AAPCs of ?5.24% (95% CI ?5.78% to ?4.70%) and ?5.28% (95% CI ?5.75% to ?4.81%), respectively. The burden intensified with advancing age and was disproportionately higher among males compared to females. BAPC projections indicate a continued decline in COPD burden from 2022 to 2035, with ASMR expected to decrease from 56.40 to 23.02 per 100 000 and ASDR from 900.14 to 408.64 per 100 000. Conclusion Despite sustained reductions in the burden of COPD attributable to air pollution in China from 1990 to 2021, with further declines anticipated through 2035, national rates remain elevated relative to global benchmarks. Male and elderly populations bear the highest burden, underscoring the urgency for targeted interventions to mitigate air pollution exposure and address health disparities in vulnerable demographics.