Objective To analyze the trends in the burden of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and its related risk factors in China from 1990 to 2021, providing evidence for targeted prevention and control. Methods Based on public data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, four epidemiological indicators, including incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were selected to describe the burden of ICH in China in 2021. Change rates and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) were calculated to evaluate the trends in disease burden from 1990 to 2021. The Das Gupta method was used to decompose the effects of population growth, population aging and epidemiological changes on the burden during this period. Finally, the attributable burden of risk factors related to ICH was analyzed. Results In 2021, the age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALY rates of ICH in China were 61.2/100000, 222.1/100000, 68.8/100000, and 1351.6/100000, respectively, all higher than global estimates. From 1990 to 2021, although these rates showed a declining trend (EAPC: ?2.24, ?1.26, ?2.38, and ?2.47, respectively), the absolute disease burden, including the absolute number of incidence cases, prevalence cases, deaths, and DALYs, continued to rise, with an increase ranging from 20.57% to 51.59%. In addition, the burden of ICH in China varied by age and sex, with older adults and males experiencing a higher burden. Decomposition analysis indicated that population aging and growth were the primary drivers of the increasing ICH burden in China, while epidemiological changes mitigated this trend. Metabolic factors were the predominant attributable risk factors for ICH. High systolic blood pressure, ambient particulate matter pollution, and diet high in sodium were important risk factors common to both genders. The DALY burden attributable to smoking and alcohol use was higher in men, whereas impaired kidney function and secondhand smoke had a greater impact on women. Conclusions The burden of ICH in China has continued to increase from 1990 to 2021, and it may further escalate in the context of population aging. Risk factor control remains a key priority for prevention. Future strategies should incorporate age- and sex-specific interventions to reduce the ICH burden in China.
ObjectiveTo analyze the disease burden trend of non-rheumatic degenerative mitral valve disease (NR-DMVD) in China from 1990 to 2023 and compare it with global, US, and Indian levels. MethodsBased on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2023 database, data on incidence, mortality, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for NR-DMVD were extracted. Joinpoint regression, decomposition analysis, and autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) were used to analyze trends, drivers, and project burden to 2040. ResultsIn 2023, China's age-standardized DALY rate (2.56/100 000) and mortality rate (0.037/100 000) for NR-DMVD were significantly lower than those in the United States, India, and globally, while its age-standardized incidence rate (10.39/100 000) and prevalence rate (126.03/100 000) showed slow increases. From 1990 to 2023, the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) for China's age-standardized DALY rate and mortality rate were –2.11% [95%CI (–2.25%, –1.98%)] and –4.54% [95%CI (–4.92%, –4.16%)], respectively, while the incidence rate and prevalence rate continued to rise; India showed increasing trends in all burden indicators. Decomposition analysis indicated that population aging was the primary driver of the increase in DALYs and prevalence cases, while epidemiological improvement was the key factor that led to the reduction in the number of deaths. Joinpoint analysis revealed that China's age-standardized DALY rate and mortality rate declined most rapidly during 2000-2013. ARIMA models projected that China's prevalence rate would continue to rise and mortality rate would continue to decline through 2040. ConclusionNR-DMVD in China exhibits a dual-track pattern of "declining mortality but rising prevalence", driven by population aging. A tiered prevention and control system focusing on the elderly and high-risk male groups is needed.