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      2. west china medical publishers
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        find Author "蔡忠香" 2 results
        • 應對新型冠狀病毒肺炎的護理人力資源管理模式的探討

          Release date:2020-05-26 09:32 Export PDF Favorites Scan
        • Development and validation of a prediction model for postoperative hepatic dysfunction after Stanford type A aortic dissection

          ObjectiveTo develop and validate a prediction model for postoperative hepatic dysfunction after Stanford type A aortic dissection (TAAD), providing a reference for early identification and intervention. MethodsWe retrospectively enrolled the patients with TAAD who underwent surgical treatment at Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University from August 2022 to August 2025 and at Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology from December 2022 to June 2025. The dataset was randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7.5 : 2.5. Independent predictors were identified using univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression. Predictive models were developed using logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). Model performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, DeLong tests, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). A nomogram was constructed based on the optimal model. ResultsA total of 482 patients were included, comprising 368 males and 114 females, with a median age of 54 (45, 62) years. Among them, 214 (44.4%) patients developed postoperative hepatic dysfunction. Multivariable analysis identified five independent predictors: preoperative serum creatinine level, pericardial effusion, postoperative mechanical ventilation duration, procalcitonin, and total bilirubin (all P<0.05). In the validation cohort, the area under the curve (AUC) values of the LR, RF, and XGBoost models were 0.741, 0.725, and 0.712, respectively, with the LR model demonstrating the best overall performance. The DeLong test showed no significant difference in AUC among the three models (P>0.05). Calibration curves demonstrated better agreement for the LR model. The DCA indicated that the LR model provided greater net benefit across a wider range of threshold probabilities. ConclusionMachine learning models do not outperform traditional LR in predicting postoperative hepatic dysfunction after TAAD. The LR model demonstrats more stable predictive performance and greater clinical utility. The nomogram developed based on this model may provide a reference for individualized clinical risk assessment.

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          2. 射丝袜