Dynamic Analysis of Outpatient and Emergency Visits in a Large Tertiary Hospital in Guangzhou from 2005 to 2013_Chinese Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine

Authors：

 CHENGShu-yuan , HEZhi-min , ZENGXun ,  PENGDan-xin

Department of Outpatient, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510080, China;

Corresponding?author：

PENGDan-xin, Email: pengdanxin@163.com

Keywords：

The number of outpatient and emergency visits; Time series; Seasonal index; Seasonal factors

DOI：

10.7507/1672-2531.20150066

Video：

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Abstract Full text Figures/Tables Video References Cited by

Objective To acquire the flow law of outpatient and emergency visits in a large general hospital. Methods By sampling monthly amount of outpatient and emergency from January 2005 to December 2013 of a large general hospital in Guangzhou, the trend of the time series was analyzed and calculated the seasonal index of the amount of hospital outpatient and emergency visits with the use of long-term trends method. Result The flow law of patients in the hospital outpatient and emergency was significantly affected by seasonal factors, and different month had its own variation characters. The seasonal indexes were the highest in March, July, August, November and December (seasonal index >105%), while the lowest in January, February, October (seasonal index <95%). Conclusion Based on analysis of the outpatient and emergency visits and causes with hospitals, decision makers and hospitals should make reasonable allocation of medical resources and provide evidence for the scientific decisions of hospital management. Thus, ensure the safety of patients.

Citation： CHENGShu-yuan, HEZhi-min, ZENGXun, PENGDan-xin. Dynamic Analysis of Outpatient and Emergency Visits in a Large Tertiary Hospital in Guangzhou from 2005 to 2013. Chinese Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine, 2015, 15(4): 389-392. doi: 10.7507/1672-2531.20150066 Copy

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Chinese Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine

Dynamic Analysis of Outpatient and Emergency Visits in a Large Tertiary Hospital in Guangzhou from 2005 to 2013

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